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大连市1981—2013年居民脑血管病死亡趋势分析

Time trends in mortalities of heart and cerebrovascular diseases among residents in Dalian from 1981 to 2013

  • 摘要: 目的了解辽宁省大连市1981—2013年居民心脑血管病死亡趋势,为制定预防控制策略和措施提供科学依据。方法收集大连市1981—2013年居民心脑血管病死因监测数据,采用死亡数、粗死亡率、标化死亡率、死因构成比、年度变化百分比(APC)等指标对脑血管病死亡趋势进行统计学描述。结果1981—2013年大连市居民脑血管病粗死亡率为92.85/10万~131.30/10万,随年份增长呈上升趋势(χ趋势2=368.87,P<0.01),APC为1.92(t=5.80,P<0.01);标化死亡率为49.25/10万~151.19/10万,随年份增长呈下降趋势(χ趋势2=367.60,P<0.01),APC为-3.82(t=-15.96,P<0.01);脑血管病占总死亡的构成比为15.08%~22.37%,2002年以后一直为大连市居民的第3位死因;1981—2013年男、女性居民脑血管病粗死亡率和标化死亡率分别为100.88/10万~143.22/10万和54.59/10万~148.65/10万、82.66/10万~120.89/10万和43.56/10万~156.24/10万,男性标化死亡率及女性粗死亡率和标化死亡率均随年份增长呈下降趋势(均P<0.01);0~14岁居民脑血管病死亡率几乎为零,≥15岁居民死亡率随年龄增高呈上升趋势,≥50岁各年龄组居民脑血管病死亡率均随年份增长呈下降趋势。结论脑血管疾病是大连市居民的主要死因之一,严重危害中老年人群的健康生命,应加强脑血管病的预防与控制,提高居民健康生命质量。

     

    Abstract: ObjectiveTo investigate features of deaths due to heart and cerebrovascular diseases(HCDs)from 1981 to 2013 among residents in Dalian city and to provide scientific basis for the control of HCDs.MethodsThis study was based on death surveillance data in Dalian.Mortality rate(MR),crude death rate(CDR),age-adjusted mortality rate(AAM),annual percent change(APC)were calculated.ResultsFrom 1981 to 2013,the CDR of HCDs fluctuated from 92.85/100 000 to 131.30/100 000 and increased slowly,with an APC of 1.92(P<0.01);the AAM of HCDs fluctuated from 49.25/100 000 to 151.19/100 000 and decreased slowly,with an APC of-3.82(P<0.01).During the period,HCDs accounted for 15.08%-22.37% of the all deaths and ranked as the third cause of death after the year of 2002.The ranges of CDR and AAM of HCDs were 100.88/100 000-143.22/100 000 and 54.59/100 000-148.65/100 000 for males,and 82.66/100 000-120.89/100 000 and 43.56/100 000-156.24/100 000 for females during the period,with the yearly decrease trend in AAM for males and CDR for females.The mortality rate of cerebrovascular disease was very low for the residents aged under 15 years,whereas,the rate increased with age for the residents at the age of ≥15 and <50 years but decreased with age for the residents of ≥50 years old.ConclusionHCDs have emerged as primary causes of death for Dalian residents and much more attentions should be paid for the prevention and control of HCDs.

     

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